1. FC Kaiserslautern
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 444 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), 1. FC Kaiserslautern drew 129 where the draw model expected 120.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 120.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 13 Mar 1999 → 04 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 31 Jan 2026 → 17 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 11 May 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 12 Mar 2005 → 10 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 03 Feb 2001 → 28 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 31 Oct 2023 → 10 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 21 Oct 1998 → 16 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 12 May 2001 → 20 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 20 Apr 2013 → 24 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 12 Mar 2011 → 06 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 516 | 150 | 29.1% | 4 | 15 |
| Bundesliga | 476 | 118 | 24.8% | 9 | 20 |
| 3. Liga | 152 | 54 | 35.5% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 78 | 7 | 9.0% | 2 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 16 |
| 2025 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 15 |
| 2024 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 2022 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2020 | 37 | 18 | 48.7% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2013 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2012 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2011 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2009 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 10 |
| 2008 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2007 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2006 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 14 |
| 2004 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2003 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 2001 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 14 |
| 2000 | 45 | 7 | 15.6% | 8 |
| 1999 | 41 | 4 | 9.8% | 27 |
| 1998 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 13 |
| 1997 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 1996 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1994 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 1993 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1981 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 16:30 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:00 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 18:30 |
1. FC Nürnberg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Hannover 96
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:00 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:00 |
VfL Osnabrück
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.