Inverness Caledonian Thistle
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 501 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Inverness Caledonian Thistle drew 144 where the draw model expected 125.9 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 120.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 10 Aug 2002 → 30 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 21 Oct 2007 → 20 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 26 Apr 2025 → 04 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 09 Nov 2024 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 23 Mar 2010 → 28 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Oct 2019 → 25 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 05 May 2007 → 29 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 31 Aug 2013 → 30 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 20 Feb 2008 → 10 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 13 Oct 2001 → 22 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 458 | 128 | 28.0% | 1 | 16 |
| Scottish Premiership | 456 | 123 | 27.0% | 8 | 14 |
| Scottish League One | 144 | 40 | 27.8% | 1 | 13 |
| Scottish League Cup | 86 | 17 | 19.8% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 82 | 18 | 22.0% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 15 | 46.9% | 3 |
| 2025 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 15 |
| 2024 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 10 |
| 2022 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2012 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 3 |
| 2011 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2010 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2009 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2007 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 13 |
| 2006 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 2005 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 6 |
| 2004 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2003 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 18 |
| 2001 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 12 |
| 2000 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 1997 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 18:45 |
Queen's Park
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Raith Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Dunfermline Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.