Groningen
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 401 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Groningen drew 100 where the draw model expected 92.6 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 92.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 17 Dec 2011 → 22 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 02 Oct 2004 → 06 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 18 May 2025 → 30 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 04 Nov 2006 → 28 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 May 2005 → 06 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 30 Jan 2010 → 11 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 16 Aug 2015 → 20 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 11 Nov 2007 → 23 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 22 Sep 2024 → 30 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 30 Jan 2016 → 10 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1019 | 257 | 25.2% | 1 | 16 |
| KNVB Cup | 48 | 4 | 8.3% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2023 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2019 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2018 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 2017 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2016 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2013 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 14 |
| 2011 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2009 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2007 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2006 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2004 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 2003 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2002 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 5 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 1998 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 5 |
| 1996 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 1995 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 1994 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 14:45 |
Excelsior Rotterdam
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:45 |
Groningen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 13:30 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Thu, 29 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Oct 20:00 |
Groningen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 15:45 |
Groningen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:45 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.