☆
· ITL · Club Friendlies
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
169
Draw %
21.3%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
10
20 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019
Avg top run
6.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.74
p50
24.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.255
rank #549
Draws
36
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,508
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,603
reached 26 Oct 2021
Rank
#2,767
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
169
last 1 Aug 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 155 matches (Sep 2015 – Aug 2026), FC Emmen drew 34 where the draw model expected 31.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 34.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 10
20 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019
2 7
04 Apr 2021 → 16 May 2021
3 7
24 Oct 2020 → 04 Dec 2020
4 7
27 Sep 2019 → 10 Nov 2019
5 6
16 Apr 2023 → 28 May 2023
6 6
26 Jan 2021 → 27 Feb 2021
7 6
26 Jan 2019 → 03 Mar 2019
8 5
20 Aug 2022 → 18 Sep 2022
9 5
22 Dec 2020 → 20 Jan 2021
10 5
07 Aug 2020 → 19 Sep 2020
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 20 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 04 Apr 2021 → 16 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 24 Oct 2020 → 04 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 27 Sep 2019 → 10 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 Apr 2023 → 28 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 26 Jan 2021 → 27 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 26 Jan 2019 → 03 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 20 Aug 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 22 Dec 2020 → 20 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 07 Aug 2020 → 19 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 128 | 32 | 25.0% | 6 | 10 |
| KNVB Cup | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2021 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
169 matches · page 1 / 5
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 29 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 29 Oct 20:00 |
Groningen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.