Empoli
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 479 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Empoli drew 148 where the draw model expected 128.3 from those particular fixtures — about 20 more, or 2.0 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 136.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 01 May 2021 → 31 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 22 Mar 2014 → 17 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 20 Sep 2008 → 12 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 15 Jan 2008 → 16 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 26 Nov 2006 → 24 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 24 Feb 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 03 Jun 2023 → 01 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 03 Jul 2020 → 30 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 16 Sep 2017 → 28 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 14 Aug 2011 → 01 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 569 | 182 | 32.0% | 5 | 11 |
| Serie A | 554 | 154 | 27.8% | 5 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 16 |
| 2020 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 5 |
| 2017 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2016 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2014 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 11 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 6 |
| 2012 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 8 |
| 2011 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 2010 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2009 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2008 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2007 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2006 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2005 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2003 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2002 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2001 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2000 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 1999 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 1997 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
Empoli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:00 |
Ascoli Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:30 |
Empoli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Cesena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:00 |
Empoli
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 14:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.