Doncaster Rovers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 590 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Doncaster Rovers drew 136 where the draw model expected 160.0 from those particular fixtures — about 24 fewer, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 23 Nov 2021 → 22 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 04 Oct 2003 → 30 Jan 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 25 Oct 2022 → 25 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 24 Nov 2020 → 17 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 04 Feb 2009 → 03 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 01 Oct 1996 → 26 Dec 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 15 Nov 1997 → 10 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 07 Nov 2009 → 06 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 12 Jan 2008 → 21 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 07 Oct 2005 → 17 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 593 | 154 | 26.0% | 3 | 18 |
| League Two | 452 | 97 | 21.5% | 4 | 18 |
| Championship | 230 | 60 | 26.1% | 2 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 230 | 48 | 20.9% | 3 | 5 |
| League Cup | 147 | 38 | 25.9% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2024 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2023 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 10 |
| 2022 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 13 |
| 2021 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 10 |
| 2020 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2019 | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2018 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2017 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 13 |
| 2016 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 58 | 18 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2014 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2013 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2011 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 9 |
| 2010 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 18 |
| 2008 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2007 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 10 |
| 2005 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 14 |
| 2004 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 14 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 12 |
| 1997 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 1996 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 16 |
| 1995 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 1994 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 1993 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1978 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1975 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1973 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1968 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Doncaster Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Doncaster Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Doncaster Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.