What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 326 matches (Sep 1958 – Sep 2026), GNK Dinamo Zagreb drew 69 where the draw model expected 67.8 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 69.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 145 | 33 | 22.8% | 0 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 102 | 20 | 19.6% | 2 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 2021 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2012 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2011 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1999 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1998 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.4% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
Sunderland
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.