Crewe Alexandra
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 572 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Crewe Alexandra drew 147 where the draw model expected 156.5 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 154.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 27 Aug 1996 → 11 Jan 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 18 Apr 2009 → 14 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 19 Aug 2017 → 25 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 19 Aug 2006 → 18 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 22 Jan 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 18 | 07 Mar 1998 → 08 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 29 Mar 2008 → 23 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 09 Mar 1996 → 20 Aug 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 26 Sep 2000 → 09 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 15 | 19 Apr 1994 → 24 Sep 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 598 | 131 | 21.9% | 1 | 25 |
| League Two | 548 | 141 | 25.7% | 1 | 28 |
| Championship | 368 | 89 | 24.2% | 2 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 253 | 59 | 23.3% | 1 | 5 |
| League Cup | 154 | 35 | 22.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2025 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 54 | 20 | 37.0% | 12 |
| 2022 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 18 |
| 2021 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2017 | 52 | 7 | 13.5% | 19 |
| 2016 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2012 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2011 | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 14 |
| 2010 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 21 |
| 2008 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 16 |
| 2007 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 19 |
| 2005 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2003 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2002 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 2001 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 15 |
| 1999 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 1998 | 53 | 8 | 15.1% | 18 |
| 1997 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 1996 | 55 | 4 | 7.3% | 25 |
| 1995 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 1994 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 1993 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 1992 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1991 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1989 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1974 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1960 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1892 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1889 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1888 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1887 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1886 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Swindon Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Crewe Alexandra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Exeter City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Chesterfield
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Crewe Alexandra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.