What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 04 Sep 1994 → 08 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 05 Apr 2022 → 30 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 09 Dec 2023 → 03 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 06 Feb 2021 → 16 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Oct 2005 → 26 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 04 Dec 2021 → 15 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 22 Feb 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 29 Oct 2025 → 13 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 27 Feb 2024 → 13 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Aug 2021 → 02 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 358 | 117 | 32.7% | 4 | 9 |
| Serie A | 178 | 56 | 31.5% | 5 | 15 |
| Coppa Italia | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 5 |
| 2022 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% | 5 |
| 2016 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2005 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 1999 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 1998 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1996 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 1995 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 1994 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 14 |
| 1993 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
Over 387 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), US Cremonese drew 129 where the draw model expected 112.2 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 116.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.