Cove Rangers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 309 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), Cove Rangers drew 69 where the draw model expected 70.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 68.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 10 Feb 2024 → 10 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 17 Aug 2019 → 25 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 07 Oct 2023 → 23 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Sep 2025 → 15 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 28 Sep 2024 → 03 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 04 Dec 2021 → 15 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 21 Dec 2024 → 08 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 09 Apr 2022 → 19 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 17 Oct 2020 → 21 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 27 Jun 2026 → 25 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 175 | 45 | 25.7% | 3 | 15 |
| Scottish Cup | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Scottish League Cup | 40 | 5 | 12.5% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Championship | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Scottish League Two | 28 | 2 | 7.1% | 6 | 19 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 20 |
| 2023 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2020 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2019 | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 17 |
| 2018 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.