Cheltenham Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 577 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Cheltenham Town drew 149 where the draw model expected 158.6 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 154.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 21 Apr 2006 → 04 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 29 Mar 2024 → 14 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 10 Sep 2005 → 26 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 07 Aug 1999 → 19 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 09 Feb 2021 → 02 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 28 Jan 2005 → 02 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 02 Sep 2000 → 28 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 12 Mar 2016 → 31 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 01 Oct 2011 → 10 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Nov 2007 → 29 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 872 | 250 | 28.7% | 1 | 13 |
| League One | 322 | 88 | 27.3% | 9 | 22 |
| FA Cup | 104 | 23 | 22.1% | 3 | 5 |
| National League | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 9 | 9 |
| League Cup | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2025 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 11 |
| 2024 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 16 |
| 2023 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 56 | 15 | 26.8% | 13 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 9 |
| 2019 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 11 |
| 2018 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2017 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2016 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 12 |
| 2015 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 2014 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 2013 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2010 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 8 |
| 2009 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2007 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2006 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 22 |
| 2005 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 2004 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 8 |
| 2003 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 2002 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 2001 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 13 |
| 1999 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Accrington Stanley
|
vs |
|
2.26 3.46 2.88 | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Cheltenham Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Oldham Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Cheltenham Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Cheltenham Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Tranmere Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.