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· ENG · National League
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ENG · Club
Welling United
Welling United
Played
163
Draw %
25.2%
No-draw N
6
Max streak
8
01 Jan 2015 → 08 Mar 2015
Avg top run
5.7
top 10
Draw debt E
1.44
p50
24.0%
p100
24.0%
Draw score
0.475
rank #115
Draws
41
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,268
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,511
reached 19 Dec 1989
Rank
#14,590
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
163
last 30 Apr 2016
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 163 matches (Nov 1986 – Apr 2016), Welling United drew 41 where the draw model expected 42.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 40.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 8
15 Sep 2015 → 13 Oct 2015
2 8
01 Jan 2015 → 08 Mar 2015
3 6
28 Mar 2016 → 30 Apr 2016
4 6
25 Feb 2014 → 18 Mar 2014
5 5
13 Feb 2016 → 01 Mar 2016
6 5
06 Dec 2015 → 23 Jan 2016
7 5
08 Oct 2014 → 11 Nov 2014
8 5
08 Apr 2014 → 26 Apr 2014
9 5
08 Oct 2013 → 09 Nov 2013
10 4
25 Apr 2015 → 15 Aug 2015
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 15 Sep 2015 → 13 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 01 Jan 2015 → 08 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 28 Mar 2016 → 30 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 25 Feb 2014 → 18 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 13 Feb 2016 → 01 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 06 Dec 2015 → 23 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 08 Oct 2014 → 11 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 08 Apr 2014 → 26 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 08 Oct 2013 → 09 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 25 Apr 2015 → 15 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 138 | 35 | 25.4% | 6 | 8 |
| FA Cup | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 2 | 2 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 6 |
| 2015 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Matches
all results ›
163 matches · page 1 / 5
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