US Catanzaro
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 339 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), US Catanzaro drew 94 where the draw model expected 101.7 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 103.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 08 Sep 2019 → 08 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 Oct 2023 → 20 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 25 Feb 2006 → 28 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 04 Sep 2005 → 25 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 03 Apr 2022 → 14 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 05 Oct 2021 → 15 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 28 Jan 2018 → 18 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 29 Nov 2025 → 17 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 03 Feb 2021 → 03 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 24 Feb 2019 → 07 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 204 | 46 | 22.6% | 4 | 15 |
| Serie B | 203 | 61 | 30.0% | 8 | 14 |
| Coppa Italia | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 5 |
| 2025 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 18 | 45.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 12 |
| 2022 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 8 |
| 2021 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 8 |
| 2020 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 13 |
| 2005 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2004 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:30 |
Hellas Verona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 15:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 18:00 |
Benevento Calcio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 16:15 |
US Catanzaro
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 14:00 |
Cesena
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.