Bournemouth
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 545 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Bournemouth drew 136 where the draw model expected 133.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 139.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 10 Mar 2009 → 29 Sep 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 15 Jan 2013 → 20 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 18 Feb 2023 → 05 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 30 Dec 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 13 Mar 2021 → 31 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 05 Feb 2000 → 22 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 03 Nov 1999 → 03 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 10 Nov 1998 → 26 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 27 Apr 1996 → 01 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 11 Dec 2021 → 05 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 782 | 214 | 27.4% | 0 | 19 |
| Premier League | 347 | 90 | 25.9% | 1 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 276 | 63 | 22.8% | 0 | 6 |
| Championship | 184 | 48 | 26.1% | 3 | 11 |
| League Cup | 175 | 53 | 30.3% | 1 | 5 |
| League Two | 138 | 34 | 24.6% | 6 | 21 |
| Club Friendlies | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 15 | 46.9% | 3 |
| 2025 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 12 |
| 2024 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2023 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 17 |
| 2022 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2020 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 13 |
| 2017 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2016 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 10 |
| 2015 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2014 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 10 |
| 2013 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 20 |
| 2012 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 13 |
| 2010 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2009 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 22 |
| 2008 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 15 |
| 2006 | 51 | 23 | 45.1% | 6 |
| 2005 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2004 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2003 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2002 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 7 |
| 2001 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2000 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 14 |
| 1999 | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 13 |
| 1998 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 1997 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 5 |
| 1996 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 1995 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 1994 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 1993 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 6 |
| 1992 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 |
| 1991 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1989 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 1 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1984 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1981 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1976 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1974 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 1973 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1972 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 |
| 1967 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1960 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1952 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1929 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Chelsea
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Bournemouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 13:00 |
Bournemouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Bournemouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
Manchester United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Bournemouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Bournemouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
AC Sparta Praha
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:00 |
Ipswich Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 10 Apr 2027 | ||||||
| 10 Apr 14:00 |
Bournemouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.