Barnet
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 548 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Barnet drew 132 where the draw model expected 142.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 142.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 23 Nov 2013 → 22 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 13 Apr 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 25 Apr 1998 → 03 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 08 Dec 2020 → 09 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 28 Oct 2017 → 13 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 28 Jan 2023 → 14 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 03 Apr 2010 → 10 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 12 Apr 2008 → 06 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 11 Nov 2000 → 27 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 15 Feb 2025 → 05 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 877 | 244 | 27.8% | 2 | 13 |
| National League | 398 | 91 | 22.9% | 3 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 128 | 32 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| League Cup | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 1 | 4 |
| League One | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 0 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 2024 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 19 |
| 2023 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 12 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 49 | 8 | 16.3% | 11 |
| 2020 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 4 |
| 2019 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2018 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 9 |
| 2017 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 2016 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2015 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 10 |
| 2014 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 14 |
| 2013 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 6 |
| 2012 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 11 |
| 2009 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 11 |
| 2007 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2006 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 10 |
| 2005 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 1999 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 9 |
| 1998 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 1997 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 1996 | 57 | 17 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 1995 | 46 | 20 | 43.5% | 6 |
| 1994 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 7 |
| 1993 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 10 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Bristol Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Tranmere Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Barnet
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Barnet
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Barnet
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Crewe Alexandra
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.