What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 15 Feb 2026 → 23 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 May 2019 → 25 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 28 Dec 2017 → 17 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 15 Sep 2012 → 10 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 14 May 2017 → 24 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 19 Mar 2013 → 04 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 09 Oct 2011 → 03 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Dec 2008 → 17 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 19 Apr 2008 → 30 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 24 Jan 2025 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 740 | 216 | 29.2% | 0 | 12 |
| Serie A | 76 | 28 | 36.8% | 4 | 8 |
| Serie C | 74 | 21 | 28.4% | 11 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 16 |
| 2025 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 9 |
| 2024 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2018 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2012 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2009 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 10 |
| 2007 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 8 |
| 2006 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 5 |
| 2005 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2004 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2002 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
Over 453 matches (Aug 2015 – Nov 2026), Ascoli Calcio drew 131 where the draw model expected 138.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 142.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.