AS Monaco
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 552 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), AS Monaco drew 129 where the draw model expected 132.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 144.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 05 Mar 2017 → 09 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 23 Feb 2003 → 31 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 07 Oct 1997 → 05 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 30 Mar 2024 → 24 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 03 Nov 2018 → 06 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 23 Mar 2012 → 30 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 13 Jan 2010 → 06 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 08 Aug 2009 → 31 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 16 Dec 2000 → 14 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 19 Oct 1996 → 28 Nov 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1141 | 307 | 26.9% | 1 | 19 |
| UEFA Champions League | 124 | 30 | 24.2% | 0 | 11 |
| Ligue 2 | 76 | 26 | 34.2% | 4 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 70 | 17 | 24.3% | 3 | 10 |
| Coupe de France | 62 | 11 | 17.7% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 25 | 12 | 48.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 3 | 3 |
| Trophée des Champions | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2025 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2024 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2021 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2018 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 56 | 8 | 14.3% | 24 |
| 2016 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 53 | 18 | 34.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2012 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2011 | 38 | 18 | 47.4% | 6 |
| 2010 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 11 |
| 2009 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2008 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 2005 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2004 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 8 |
| 2003 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 16 |
| 2002 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2000 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 1999 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 1998 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1997 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 12 |
| 1996 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 11 |
| 1995 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 1994 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 1993 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 1992 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
PFC CSKA Sofia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:15 |
Lorient
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 16:15 |
Paris FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:15 |
Le Mans
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.