What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 165 matches (Nov 2015 – Sep 2026), Annecy drew 46 where the draw model expected 49.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 49.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 09 Mar 2024 → 10 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 17 Apr 2026 → 24 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 07 Nov 2025 → 31 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 20 Jan 2025 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 10 Sep 2022 → 05 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 20 Feb 2026 → 03 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 25 Apr 2025 → 09 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 06 Dec 2023 → 23 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 01 Apr 2023 → 22 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 03 Feb 2024 → 24 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 151 | 39 | 25.8% | 3 | 10 |
| Coupe de France | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2024 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2021 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 18:00 |
Annecy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:00 |
USL Dunkerque
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 18:00 |
Annecy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 23 Oct 18:00 |
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.6% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 13:00 |
Annecy
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:00 |
US Boulogne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.