☆
· FRA · Ligue 2
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
242
Draw %
27.7%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
12
06 Apr 2026 → 21 Aug 2026
Avg top run
7.4
top 10
Draw debt E
1.02
p50
22.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.300
rank #415
Draws
67
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,537
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,587
reached 16 Dec 2023
Rank
#1,163
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
242
last 9 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 241 matches (Jan 2017 – Oct 2026), Pau FC drew 66 where the draw model expected 71.6 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
06 Apr 2026 → 21 Aug 2026
2 11
24 Sep 2021 → 08 Jan 2022
3 9
18 Dec 2020 → 05 Feb 2021
4 7
20 May 2023 → 26 Aug 2023
5 6
05 Sep 2025 → 03 Oct 2025
6 6
17 Feb 2024 → 30 Mar 2024
7 6
18 Feb 2023 → 01 Apr 2023
8 6
02 Apr 2022 → 30 Apr 2022
9 6
12 Feb 2022 → 15 Mar 2022
10 5
30 Jan 2026 → 28 Feb 2026
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 06 Apr 2026 → 21 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 24 Sep 2021 → 08 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 18 Dec 2020 → 05 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 20 May 2023 → 26 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 05 Sep 2025 → 03 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 17 Feb 2024 → 30 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 18 Feb 2023 → 01 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 02 Apr 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 12 Feb 2022 → 15 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 30 Jan 2026 → 28 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 228 | 64 | 28.1% | 3 | 11 |
| Coupe de France | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 2024 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2020 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Matches
all results ›
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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|
|||||
| ☆ 09 Oct 2026 |
Pau FC
|
3–2 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 03 Oct 2026 |
Toulouse
|
2–3 |
|
A | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 18 Sep 2026 |
Pau FC
|
2–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 11 Sep 2026 |
Montpellier HSC
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 04 Sep 2026 |
Pau FC
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 28 Aug 2026 |
Rodez AF
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 21 Aug 2026 |
Pau FC
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 14 Aug 2026 |
Dijon FCO
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 08 Aug 2026 |
Pau FC
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 01 Aug 2026 |
Pau FC
|
1–2 |
|
A | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 21 Jul 2026 |
RCD Espanyol
|
4–0 |
|
H | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 11 Jul 2026 |
Real Sociedad
|
0–1 |
|
A | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| ☆ 09 May 2026 |
Stade de Reims
|
5–3 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 02 May 2026 |
Pau FC
|
1–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 24 Apr 2026 |
Annecy
|
5–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 17 Apr 2026 |
Pau FC
|
2–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 10 Apr 2026 |
Amiens SC
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Apr 2026 |
Le Mans
|
4–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 20 Mar 2026 |
Pau FC
|
0–0 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 13 Mar 2026 |
Clermont Foot
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Mar 2026 |
Pau FC
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 28 Feb 2026 |
Pau FC
|
0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 21 Feb 2026 |
ES Troyes AC
|
4–3 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 13 Feb 2026 |
Pau FC
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Feb 2026 |
Red Star
|
0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 30 Jan 2026 |
Stade Lavallois
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 23 Jan 2026 |
Pau FC
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 16 Jan 2026 |
USL Dunkerque
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 03 Jan 2026 |
Pau FC
|
3–3 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 12 Dec 2025 |
Pau FC
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 06 Dec 2025 |
Montpellier HSC
|
0–1 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 21 Nov 2025 |
Pau FC
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 08 Nov 2025 |
EA Guingamp
|
2–2 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 03 Nov 2025 |
Pau FC
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 28 Oct 2025 |
AS Saint-Étienne
|
6–0 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 24 Oct 2025 |
Pau FC
|
0–3 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 17 Oct 2025 |
Grenoble Foot 38
|
1–1 |
|
D |
|
| ☆ 03 Oct 2025 |
Pau FC
|
3–1 |
|
H |
|
| ☆ 26 Sep 2025 |
Rodez AF
|
1–2 |
|
A |
|
| ☆ 23 Sep 2025 |
Pau FC
|
1–0 |
|
H |
|
242 matches · page 1 / 7
‹ prev
next ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Oct 18:00 |
EA Guingamp
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.2% |
|
| Fri, 23 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Oct 18:00 |
Pau FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 30 Oct 19:00 |
Metz
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 19:00 |
Pau FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 20 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 20 Nov 19:00 |
Red Star
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.