Aldershot Town
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 540 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Aldershot Town drew 130 where the draw model expected 140.6 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 136.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 02 Oct 2007 → 09 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Oct 2022 → 17 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 22 Aug 2015 → 13 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 15 May 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 07 Aug 2018 → 25 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 10 Dec 2014 → 21 Feb 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 13 Sep 2011 → 05 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Feb 2006 → 17 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 30 Sep 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 11 Aug 2007 → 22 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 733 | 168 | 22.9% | 5 | 18 |
| League Two | 230 | 67 | 29.1% | 4 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 219 | 53 | 24.2% | 0 | 8 |
| League Cup | 79 | 19 | 24.1% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 10 |
| 2025 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 11 |
| 2022 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2021 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2018 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 12 |
| 2017 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2015 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2014 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 7 |
| 2012 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2011 | 56 | 16 | 28.6% | 12 |
| 2010 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 8 |
| 2009 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 13 |
| 2006 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 12 |
| 2005 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 8 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1984 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1978 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1970 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1946 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 11:30 |
Altrincham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Aldershot Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
Sutton United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Aldershot Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 15:00 |
Southend United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.