Albion Rovers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 336 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2025), Albion Rovers drew 72 where the draw model expected 75.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 30 Oct 1999 → 15 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 14 Mar 1998 → 10 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 21 | 11 Feb 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 17 Mar 2018 → 15 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 27 Dec 2014 → 18 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 25 Aug 2007 → 02 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 15 Dec 2012 → 09 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 16 Aug 2003 → 14 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 17 Oct 2020 → 23 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 29 Nov 2008 → 14 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 732 | 159 | 21.7% | 14 | 22 |
| Scottish League One | 180 | 35 | 19.4% | 9 | 15 |
| Scottish Cup | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish League Cup | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 25 | 1 | 4.0% | 21 |
| 2022 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2020 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 11 |
| 2019 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 8 |
| 2018 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 19 |
| 2017 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2016 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 16 |
| 2014 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 10 |
| 2013 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 11 |
| 2012 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2011 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2010 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2009 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2008 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2007 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 16 |
| 2006 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 2005 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2004 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2003 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 14 |
| 2002 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2001 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 15 |
| 1999 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 22 |
| 1997 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 9 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Pollok
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.1% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.