Alemannia Aachen
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 593 matches (Aug 1999 – Sep 2026), Alemannia Aachen drew 142 where the draw model expected 158.0 from those particular fixtures — about 16 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 160.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 09 Aug 2025 → 29 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 22 Apr 2005 → 21 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 22 Nov 2004 → 01 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 12 Feb 2011 → 08 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 28 Mar 2008 → 24 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 12 Aug 2006 → 04 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 17 Aug 2003 → 07 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Feb 2002 → 11 Aug 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 26 Oct 2001 → 10 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 27 Feb 2007 → 05 May 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 408 | 98 | 24.0% | 5 | 15 |
| 3. Liga | 121 | 33 | 27.3% | 2 | 15 |
| Bundesliga | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 1 | 10 |
| DFB-Pokal | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2024 | 20 | 10 | 50.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2012 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2011 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 12 |
| 2010 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2009 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2007 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2005 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 15 |
| 2004 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 5 |
| 2003 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 12 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 12 |
| 2001 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 1999 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 3 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.