☆
· GER · DFB-Pokal
Team ☆
all results ›
GER · Club
Rot Weiss Ahlen
Rot Weiss Ahlen
Played
317
Draw %
23.3%
No-draw N
13
Max streak
14
12 May 2003 → 31 Oct 2003
Avg top run
11.3
top 10
Draw debt E
2.91
p50
20.0%
p100
24.0%
Draw score
0.591
rank #34
Draws
74
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,357
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,625
reached 3 Aug 2001
Rank
#14,549
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
317
last 30 Jul 2011
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 14 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 317 matches (Aug 2000 – Jul 2011), Rot Weiss Ahlen drew 74 where the draw model expected 84.9 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 87.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 14
12 May 2003 → 31 Oct 2003
2 13
08 Mar 2011 → 30 Jul 2011
3 13
31 Jan 2010 → 23 Apr 2010
4 13
26 Nov 2004 → 03 Apr 2005
5 11
29 Jan 2006 → 09 Apr 2006
6 11
20 May 2001 → 19 Oct 2001
7 10
01 Dec 2002 → 07 Mar 2003
8 10
23 Mar 2002 → 25 Aug 2002
9 10
25 Nov 2000 → 04 Mar 2001
10 8
21 Nov 2008 → 22 Feb 2009
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 May 2003 → 31 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 08 Mar 2011 → 30 Jul 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 31 Jan 2010 → 23 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 26 Nov 2004 → 03 Apr 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 29 Jan 2006 → 09 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 20 May 2001 → 19 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 01 Dec 2002 → 07 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 23 Mar 2002 → 25 Aug 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 25 Nov 2000 → 04 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 21 Nov 2008 → 22 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 272 | 62 | 22.8% | 1 | 14 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 | 12 |
| DFB-Pokal | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 13 |
| 2010 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 13 |
| 2009 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2008 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2004 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 4 |
| 2003 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 14 |
| 2002 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2001 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2000 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
Matches
all results ›
317 matches · page 1 / 8
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