▦ FDB4
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Match official

Steve Conroy

2000–2011 · 5 competitions
Also recorded as: Conroy, S, Conroy, S., S Conroy, S. Conroy, S.Conroy
Matches 123
Draws 24
Draw % 19.5% -4.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 123 matches (Aug 2000 – Dec 2011), Steve Conroy drew 24 where the draw model expected 30.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 29.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 92 19 20.7%
SCO · Scottish League Two 19 1 5.3%
SCO · Scottish League One 9 3 33.3%
SCO · Scottish Championship 2 1 50.0%
ENG · Championship 1 0 0.0%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2011/12 8 3 37.5%
2010/11 7 0 0.0%
2009/10 17 5 29.4%
2008/09 15 4 26.7%
2007/08 6 0 0.0%
2006/07 12 2 16.7%
2005/06 12 1 8.3%
2004/05 8 1 12.5%
2003/04 7 3 42.9%
2002/03 1 0 0.0%
2001/02 15 3 20.0%
2000/01 15 2 13.3%
Latest matches last 50

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