S Hooper
Over 495 matches (Aug 2006 – Oct 2026), S Hooper drew 126 where the draw model expected 131.8 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 198 | 48 | 24.2% |
| ENG · Premier League | 140 | 36 | 25.7% |
| ENG · League One | 78 | 23 | 29.5% |
| ENG · League Two | 59 | 13 | 22.0% |
| ENG · National League | 20 | 6 | 30.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2025/26 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% |
| 2024/25 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2023/24 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% |
| 2022/23 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2021/22 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2020/21 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% |
| 2019/20 | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| 2018/19 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% |
| 2017/18 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% |
| 2016/17 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% |
| 2015/16 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% |
| 2014/15 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% |
| 2013/14 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2011/12 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% |
| 2010/11 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2009/10 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2008/09 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% |
| 2007/08 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% |
| 2006/07 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Wrexham | 4–1 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Leicester City | 1–3 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 10 Feb 2026 | West Ham United | 1–1 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 4–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1–1 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Aston Villa | 3–1 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 2–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 3–0 | Birmingham City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Manchester United | 4–4 | Bournemouth | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Brentford | 3–2 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Oct 2025 | Bournemouth | 3–1 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Chelsea | 1–3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Everton | 0–0 | Aston Villa | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0–1 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Newcastle United | 2–3 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Manchester United | 0–1 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 May 2025 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2025 | Chelsea | 3–1 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Everton | 0–2 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Brentford | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Manchester City | 2–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Brentford | 1–1 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Liverpool | 2–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 7–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Jan 2025 | Chelsea | 3–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Manchester United | 0–2 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Manchester City | 1–1 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Crystal Palace | 1–5 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–2 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Dec 2024 | Bournemouth | 1–0 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Derby County | 1–1 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Chelsea | 2–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Crystal Palace | 0–1 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Brentford | 1–1 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Sunderland | 1–0 | Middlesbrough | H | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–2 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Everton | 0–3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 May 2024 | Brentford | 2–4 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 May 2024 | Aston Villa | 3–3 | Liverpool | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2024 | Ipswich Town | 2–0 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 0–2 | Manchester City | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Apr 2024 | Arsenal | 5–0 | Chelsea | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Burnley | 1–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |