S Attwell
Over 446 matches (Aug 2006 – Oct 2026), S Attwell drew 125 where the draw model expected 115.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 117.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 248 | 70 | 28.2% |
| ENG · Championship | 85 | 24 | 28.2% |
| ENG · League Two | 52 | 17 | 32.7% |
| ENG · League One | 50 | 12 | 24.0% |
| ENG · National League | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% |
| 2025/26 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
| 2024/25 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% |
| 2023/24 | 20 | 1 | 5.0% |
| 2022/23 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% |
| 2021/22 | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| 2020/21 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2019/20 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| 2018/19 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% |
| 2017/18 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% |
| 2016/17 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| 2015/16 | 21 | 4 | 19.0% |
| 2014/15 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% |
| 2013/14 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% |
| 2011/12 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% |
| 2010/11 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% |
| 2009/10 | 23 | 12 | 52.2% |
| 2008/09 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% |
| 2007/08 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% |
| 2006/07 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Manchester United | 1–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Everton | 1–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Newcastle United | 2–2 | Liverpool | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 May 2026 | Chelsea | 2–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 May 2026 | Manchester City | 3–0 | Crystal Palace | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 May 2026 | Sunderland | 0–0 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Apr 2026 | West Ham United | 2–1 | Everton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Bournemouth | 2–2 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 16 Mar 2026 | Brentford | 2–2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Newcastle United | 2–3 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Fulham | 1–2 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leeds United | 0–4 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 2–2 | Manchester United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–1 | Sunderland | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 1–2 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Newcastle United | 2–1 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Sunderland | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | Fulham | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Brentford | 3–1 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Leeds United | 2–1 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Manchester United | 2–0 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Brentford | 2–2 | Chelsea | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Aston Villa | 0–3 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Everton | 2–0 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 May 2025 | Bournemouth | 0–1 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 May 2025 | Coventry City | 2–0 | Middlesbrough | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Leicester City | 0–1 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Chelsea | 2–2 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Apr 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–3 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–1 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Feb 2025 | West Ham United | 2–0 | Leicester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Feb 2025 | Leeds United | 2–1 | Sunderland | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Feb 2025 | Chelsea | 2–1 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Newcastle United | 1–4 | Bournemouth | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Southampton | 0–5 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Sheffield United | 1–1 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Ipswich Town | 0–4 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Leicester City | 2–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Dec 2024 | Chelsea | 3–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Bournemouth | 1–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Nov 2024 | West Ham United | 0–0 | Everton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Nov 2024 | Fulham | 2–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Millwall | 1–1 | Derby County | D | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Ipswich Town | 2–2 | Aston Villa | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Southampton | 0–3 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |