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R Hardie

2021–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 108
Draws 32
Draw % 29.6% +5.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 108 matches (Aug 2021 – Oct 2026), R Hardie drew 32 where the draw model expected 26.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Championship 34 10 29.4%
SCO · Scottish Premiership 34 11 32.4%
SCO · Scottish League One 22 5 22.7%
SCO · Scottish League Two 18 6 33.3%
By season 6 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 10 3 30.0%
2025/26 24 9 37.5%
2024/25 26 7 26.9%
2023/24 23 5 21.7%
2022/23 17 4 23.5%
2021/22 8 4 50.0%
Latest matches last 50

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