▦ FDB4
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Match official

Phil Dowd

2000–2015 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: Dowd, P., P Dowd, P. Dowd
Matches 453
Draws 118
Draw % 26.1% +1.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 453 matches (Aug 2000 – Feb 2015), Phil Dowd drew 118 where the draw model expected 117.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 118.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 306 77 25.2%
ENG · Championship 90 29 32.2%
ENG · League One 31 4 12.9%
ENG · League Two 26 8 30.8%
By season 15 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2014/15 22 7 31.8%
2013/14 30 5 16.7%
2012/13 25 10 40.0%
2011/12 31 10 32.3%
2010/11 31 9 29.0%
2009/10 31 8 25.8%
2008/09 36 8 22.2%
2007/08 37 12 32.4%
2006/07 28 6 21.4%
2005/06 37 7 18.9%
2004/05 31 8 25.8%
2003/04 25 6 24.0%
2002/03 34 6 17.6%
2001/02 27 8 29.6%
2000/01 28 8 28.6%
Latest matches last 50

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