▦ FDB4
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Match official

P Wright

2008–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 227
Draws 81
Draw % 35.7% +11.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 227 matches (Aug 2008 – Feb 2026), P Wright drew 81 where the draw model expected 62.9 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 2.7 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 60.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 87 29 33.3%
ENG · League One 72 23 31.9%
ENG · National League 68 29 42.6%
By season 13 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2025/26 21 3 14.3%
2024/25 3 1 33.3%
2023/24 19 8 42.1%
2022/23 18 4 22.2%
2021/22 28 10 35.7%
2020/21 27 9 33.3%
2019/20 20 9 45.0%
2018/19 30 9 30.0%
2017/18 24 9 37.5%
2016/17 18 9 50.0%
2010/11 8 3 37.5%
2009/10 7 4 57.1%
2008/09 4 3 75.0%
Latest matches last 50

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