▦ FDB4
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Match official

Neale Barry

2000–2005 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: Barry, N. S., N Barry, N. S. Barry
Matches 140
Draws 42
Draw % 30.0% +5.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 140 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2005), Neale Barry drew 42 where the draw model expected 37.1 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 36.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 94 28 29.8%
ENG · Championship 28 9 32.1%
ENG · League One 10 3 30.0%
ENG · League Two 8 2 25.0%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2004/05 24 8 33.3%
2003/04 29 6 20.7%
2002/03 31 11 35.5%
2001/02 26 9 34.6%
2000/01 30 8 26.7%
Latest matches last 50

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