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Match official

M Oliver

2005–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 559
Draws 144
Draw % 25.8% +1.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 559 matches (Aug 2005 – Oct 2026), M Oliver drew 144 where the draw model expected 141.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 144.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 434 108 24.9%
ENG · Championship 49 14 28.6%
ENG · League Two 30 10 33.3%
ENG · League One 26 7 26.9%
ENG · National League 20 5 25.0%
By season 22 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 6 1 16.7%
2025/26 29 7 24.1%
2024/25 25 8 32.0%
2023/24 24 4 16.7%
2022/23 30 5 16.7%
2021/22 26 5 19.2%
2020/21 28 3 10.7%
2019/20 32 8 25.0%
2018/19 30 5 16.7%
2017/18 31 10 32.3%
2016/17 33 6 18.2%
2015/16 27 10 37.0%
2014/15 28 8 28.6%
2013/14 30 9 30.0%
2012/13 23 8 34.8%
2011/12 29 11 37.9%
2010/11 26 6 23.1%
2009/10 23 6 26.1%
2008/09 33 14 42.4%
2007/08 26 5 19.2%
2006/07 13 1 7.7%
2005/06 7 4 57.1%
Latest matches last 50

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