▦ FDB4
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Match official

M Edwards

2017–2024 · 3 competitions
Matches 158
Draws 45
Draw % 28.5% +4.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 158 matches (Aug 2017 – Apr 2024), M Edwards drew 45 where the draw model expected 44.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 42.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 60 14 23.3%
ENG · League Two 59 20 33.9%
ENG · National League 39 11 28.2%
By season 7 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2023/24 26 3 11.5%
2022/23 24 5 20.8%
2021/22 25 11 44.0%
2020/21 26 8 30.8%
2019/20 18 7 38.9%
2018/19 21 5 23.8%
2017/18 18 6 33.3%
Latest matches last 50

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