▦ FDB4
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Match official

John Rowbotham

2000–2005 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: J Rowbotham, J. Rowbotham, Rowbotham, J
Matches 106
Draws 30
Draw % 28.3% +4.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 106 matches (Jul 2000 – May 2005), John Rowbotham drew 30 where the draw model expected 24.9 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 83 19 22.9%
SCO · Scottish Championship 14 7 50.0%
SCO · Scottish League Two 5 2 40.0%
SCO · Scottish League One 4 2 50.0%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2004/05 8 1 12.5%
2003/04 16 7 43.8%
2002/03 16 4 25.0%
2001/02 31 5 16.1%
2000/01 35 13 37.1%
Latest matches last 50

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