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Match official

J Durkin

2019–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 131
Draws 31
Draw % 23.7% -0.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 131 matches (Aug 2019 – Sep 2026), J Durkin drew 31 where the draw model expected 34.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 34.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 91 22 24.2%
ENG · League Two 26 5 19.2%
ENG · League One 14 4 28.6%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 4 2 50.0%
2025/26 27 8 29.6%
2024/25 24 5 20.8%
2023/24 19 3 15.8%
2022/23 22 5 22.7%
2021/22 8 2 25.0%
2020/21 17 3 17.6%
2019/20 10 3 30.0%
Latest matches last 50

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