▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

J Busby

2010–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 331
Draws 74
Draw % 22.4% -2.0 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 331 matches (Aug 2010 – Oct 2026), J Busby drew 74 where the draw model expected 91.5 from those particular fixtures — about 18 fewer, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 89.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 122 28 23.0%
ENG · League One 101 17 16.8%
ENG · League Two 81 21 25.9%
ENG · National League 27 8 29.6%
By season 13 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 7 3 42.9%
2025/26 23 4 17.4%
2024/25 28 6 21.4%
2023/24 32 5 15.6%
2022/23 32 8 25.0%
2021/22 33 11 33.3%
2020/21 27 5 18.5%
2019/20 24 9 37.5%
2018/19 33 6 18.2%
2017/18 34 5 14.7%
2016/17 32 4 12.5%
2015/16 18 5 27.8%
2010/11 8 3 37.5%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy