▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

Graham Poll

2000–2007 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: G Poll, G. Poll, Poll, G.
Matches 215
Draws 54
Draw % 25.1% +0.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 215 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2007), Graham Poll drew 54 where the draw model expected 57.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 55.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 186 42 22.6%
ENG · Championship 17 8 47.1%
ENG · League One 8 2 25.0%
ENG · League Two 4 2 50.0%
By season 7 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2006/07 35 11 31.4%
2005/06 31 6 19.4%
2004/05 32 5 15.6%
2003/04 27 8 29.6%
2002/03 29 8 27.6%
2001/02 28 8 28.6%
2000/01 33 8 24.2%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy