G Salisbury
Over 556 matches (Aug 2001 – May 2021), G Salisbury drew 153 where the draw model expected 155.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 151.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 214 | 59 | 27.6% |
| ENG · League Two | 211 | 62 | 29.4% |
| ENG · Championship | 131 | 32 | 24.4% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020/21 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% |
| 2019/20 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% |
| 2018/19 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% |
| 2017/18 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2016/17 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% |
| 2015/16 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% |
| 2014/15 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% |
| 2013/14 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% |
| 2011/12 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| 2010/11 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% |
| 2009/10 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% |
| 2008/09 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% |
| 2007/08 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% |
| 2006/07 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2005/06 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% |
| 2004/05 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% |
| 2003/04 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2002/03 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2001/02 | 27 | 13 | 48.1% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May 2021 | Wigan Athletic | 3–4 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Forest Green Rovers | 3–2 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Newport County | 1–0 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Mar 2021 | Colchester United | 1–2 | Bradford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Mar 2021 | Fleetwood Town | 0–2 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–3 | Burton Albion | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Mar 2021 | Gillingham | 3–1 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Mar 2021 | Northampton Town | 2–0 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Oxford United | 0–1 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · League One |
| 20 Feb 2021 | Leyton Orient | 1–1 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Feb 2021 | Harrogate Town | 0–1 | Cheltenham Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Feb 2021 | Barrow | 0–2 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Feb 2021 | Stevenage | 0–1 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Peterborough United | 0–0 | Bristol Rovers | D | ENG · League One |
| 19 Jan 2021 | Morecambe | 1–1 | Walsall | D | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Jan 2021 | Port Vale | 3–0 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2020 | Scunthorpe United | 2–3 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Dec 2020 | Wigan Athletic | 0–5 | Rochdale | A | ENG · League One |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–1 | Burton Albion | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Dec 2020 | Northampton Town | 0–2 | Doncaster Rovers | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 Dec 2020 | Carlisle United | 2–1 | Salford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Nov 2020 | Swindon Town | 0–1 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 31 Oct 2020 | Cheltenham Town | 2–1 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Oct 2020 | Harrogate Town | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Sep 2020 | Carlisle United | 2–0 | Southend United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Sep 2020 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–2 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 10 Mar 2020 | Carlisle United | 2–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Feb 2020 | Morecambe | 1–1 | Crewe Alexandra | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Bolton Wanderers | 0–2 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Feb 2020 | Sunderland | 3–0 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Feb 2020 | Carlisle United | 1–1 | Swindon Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Feb 2020 | Stevenage | 0–3 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Jan 2020 | Newport County | 1–0 | Macclesfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Jan 2020 | Northampton Town | 4–1 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Mansfield Town | 3–4 | Forest Green Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2020 | Oldham Athletic | 0–2 | Scunthorpe United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Dec 2019 | Burton Albion | 3–1 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Dec 2019 | Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League One |
| 23 Nov 2019 | Shrewsbury Town | 3–4 | Bristol Rovers | A | ENG · League One |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Northampton Town | 2–0 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Oct 2019 | Bradford City | 1–2 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Oct 2019 | Portsmouth | 0–0 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League One |
| 21 Sep 2019 | Fleetwood Town | 2–1 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Sep 2019 | Macclesfield Town | 1–1 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Sep 2019 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–1 | Shrewsbury Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 31 Aug 2019 | Oxford United | 3–3 | Coventry City | D | ENG · League One |
| 20 Aug 2019 | Oldham Athletic | 0–0 | Exeter City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Aug 2019 | Crawley Town | 2–0 | Salford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Apr 2019 | Crewe Alexandra | 4–3 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Apr 2019 | Crawley Town | 1–1 | Notts County | D | ENG · League Two |