Eddie Ilderton
Over 403 matches (Aug 2002 – May 2019), Eddie Ilderton drew 117 where the draw model expected 111.8 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 109.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 155 | 52 | 33.5% |
| ENG · League Two | 134 | 32 | 23.9% |
| ENG · Championship | 114 | 33 | 28.9% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018/19 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| 2017/18 | 27 | 12 | 44.4% |
| 2016/17 | 17 | 9 | 52.9% |
| 2015/16 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% |
| 2014/15 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% |
| 2013/14 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2011/12 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% |
| 2010/11 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2009/10 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% |
| 2007/08 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2006/07 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% |
| 2005/06 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% |
| 2004/05 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| 2003/04 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2002/03 | 26 | 3 | 11.5% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May 2019 | Bury | 1–1 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Apr 2019 | Bradford City | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League One |
| 19 Apr 2019 | Crewe Alexandra | 2–0 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Apr 2019 | Accrington Stanley | 2–1 | Walsall | H | ENG · League One |
| 30 Mar 2019 | Morecambe | 1–0 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Mar 2019 | Rochdale | 3–1 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · League One |
| 12 Mar 2019 | Carlisle United | 1–3 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Walsall | 2–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Mar 2019 | Bury | 3–0 | Macclesfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Feb 2019 | Accrington Stanley | 1–1 | Southend United | D | ENG · League One |
| 16 Feb 2019 | Bradford City | 0–0 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · League One |
| 09 Feb 2019 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Jan 2019 | Coventry City | 0–2 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League One |
| 19 Jan 2019 | Blackpool | 0–0 | Shrewsbury Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Jan 2019 | Scunthorpe United | 2–1 | Coventry City | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2018 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · League One |
| 15 Dec 2018 | Carlisle United | 4–0 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 May 2018 | Lincoln City | 1–1 | Yeovil Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Apr 2018 | Doncaster Rovers | 0–1 | Blackburn Rovers | A | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2018 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–1 | Bury | D | ENG · League One |
| 07 Apr 2018 | Oxford United | 0–0 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 02 Apr 2018 | Coventry City | 2–6 | Yeovil Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Mar 2018 | Morecambe | 0–0 | Lincoln City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Mar 2018 | Rochdale | 0–0 | Southend United | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Mar 2018 | Bristol Rovers | 1–1 | Northampton Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 06 Mar 2018 | Accrington Stanley | 1–0 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Feb 2018 | Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League One |
| 18 Feb 2018 | Blackpool | 1–1 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · League One |
| 13 Feb 2018 | Rotherham United | 3–1 | Oxford United | H | ENG · League One |
| 27 Jan 2018 | Carlisle United | 1–0 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Jan 2018 | Scunthorpe United | 1–1 | Doncaster Rovers | D | ENG · League One |
| 13 Jan 2018 | Wigan Athletic | 0–0 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · League One |
| 30 Dec 2017 | Bradford City | 3–2 | Oxford United | H | ENG · League One |
| 23 Dec 2017 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–3 | Swindon Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Nov 2017 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Oct 2017 | Blackburn Rovers | 1–1 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · League One |
| 07 Oct 2017 | Carlisle United | 0–1 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Sep 2017 | Port Vale | 1–2 | Accrington Stanley | A | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Sep 2017 | Rochdale | 3–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Sep 2017 | Bury | 0–1 | Scunthorpe United | A | ENG · League One |
| 26 Aug 2017 | Lincoln City | 4–1 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Oldham Athletic | 0–2 | Wigan Athletic | A | ENG · League One |
| 12 Aug 2017 | Crewe Alexandra | 1–1 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Aug 2017 | Chesterfield | 1–3 | Grimsby Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Apr 2017 | Grimsby Town | 4–2 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Apr 2017 | Peterborough United | 1–2 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 08 Apr 2017 | Exeter City | 0–1 | Newport County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Apr 2017 | Bolton Wanderers | 0–0 | Chesterfield | D | ENG · League One |
| 25 Mar 2017 | Oldham Athletic | 1–1 | Sheffield United | D | ENG · League One |
| 18 Mar 2017 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–0 | Coventry City | H | ENG · League One |