Match official

Craig Thomson

2002–2019 · 2 competitions
Also recorded as: C Thomson
Matches 311
Draws 72
Draw % 23.2% -1.2 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 2

Over 311 matches (Aug 2002 – May 2019), Craig Thomson drew 72 where the draw model expected 75.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 75.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 2 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 298 69 23.2%
SCO · Scottish Championship 13 3 23.1%
By season 16 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2018/19 23 7 30.4%
2017/18 28 4 14.3%
2016/17 19 3 15.8%
2015/16 24 4 16.7%
2014/15 26 7 26.9%
2013/14 26 8 30.8%
2011/12 20 3 15.0%
2010/11 20 5 25.0%
2009/10 17 4 23.5%
2008/09 19 8 42.1%
2007/08 18 4 22.2%
2006/07 18 1 5.6%
2005/06 16 6 37.5%
2004/05 14 3 21.4%
2003/04 13 2 15.4%
2002/03 10 3 30.0%
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