C Brook
Over 260 matches (Aug 2016 – Oct 2026), C Brook drew 58 where the draw model expected 71.8 from those particular fixtures — about 14 fewer, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 69.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 90 | 22 | 24.4% |
| ENG · National League | 90 | 21 | 23.3% |
| ENG · League Two | 80 | 15 | 18.8% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| 2025/26 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% |
| 2024/25 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2023/24 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2022/23 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2021/22 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2020/21 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% |
| 2019/20 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| 2018/19 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% |
| 2017/18 | 22 | 2 | 9.1% |
| 2016/17 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | Luton Town | 2–1 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Leicester City | 2–1 | Doncaster Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Notts County | 1–2 | Oxford United | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Gillingham | 0–0 | Newport County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Bromley | 2–1 | Huddersfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Plymouth Argyle | 2–0 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League One |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Stockport County | 1–2 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League One |
| 02 May 2026 | Oldham Athletic | 3–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Grimsby Town | 4–0 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–2 | Bristol Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Apr 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–3 | Luton Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Rotherham United | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Walsall | D | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Burton Albion | 2–1 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Cardiff City | 0–2 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Doncaster Rovers | 2–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Exeter City | 0–1 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1–3 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Port Vale | 1–1 | Reading | D | ENG · League One |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–3 | Carlisle United | A | ENG · National League |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Mansfield Town | 1–2 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Cheltenham Town | 2–3 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 0–1 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnet | 1–0 | Tranmere Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gillingham | 3–2 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–1 | Wycombe Wanderers | D | ENG · League One |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Northampton Town | 3–1 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Newport County | 2–2 | Barrow | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Sutton United | 2–0 | Halifax Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 11 Oct 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–1 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League One |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Cambridge United | 3–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Aldershot Town | 1–1 | Braintree Town | D | ENG · National League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Grimsby Town | 7–1 | Cheltenham Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Bromley | 2–2 | Chesterfield | D | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Mansfield Town | 4–1 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Luton Town | 1–0 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Lincoln City | 3–2 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Exeter City | 4–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 02 Aug 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 0–1 | Harrogate Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 May 2025 | Reading | 2–4 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Apr 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Chesterfield | D | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Cheltenham Town | 0–2 | Doncaster Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Crawley Town | 3–4 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Colchester United | 3–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Bristol Rovers | 3–2 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 1–0 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Cambridge United | 0–1 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League One |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Blackpool | D | ENG · League One |
| 04 Feb 2025 | Newport County | 2–1 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Peterborough United | 1–0 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |