B Huxtable
Over 208 matches (Aug 2013 – Mar 2022), B Huxtable drew 49 where the draw model expected 56.8 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 55.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 85 | 27 | 31.8% |
| ENG · League One | 63 | 8 | 12.7% |
| ENG · National League | 60 | 14 | 23.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021/22 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| 2020/21 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% |
| 2019/20 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| 2018/19 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% |
| 2017/18 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% |
| 2016/17 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% |
| 2015/16 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% |
| 2014/15 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% |
| 2013/14 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar 2022 | Colchester United | 1–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Feb 2022 | Exeter City | 4–3 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Crawley Town | 0–1 | Hartlepool United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2–1 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Gillingham | 0–0 | Shrewsbury Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Charlton Athletic | 2–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 08 Jan 2022 | Newport County | 0–2 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Dec 2021 | Stevenage | 1–1 | Scunthorpe United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Sutton United | 1–0 | Barrow | H | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Nov 2021 | Northampton Town | 2–1 | Oldham Athletic | H | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Woking | 1–2 | Stockport County | A | ENG · National League |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Torquay United | 2–0 | King’s Lynn Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Northampton Town | 1–1 | Swindon Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Sep 2021 | AFC Wimbledon | 3–1 | Oxford United | H | ENG · League One |
| 24 Apr 2021 | Oxford United | 3–1 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Apr 2021 | Mansfield Town | 3–0 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Mar 2021 | Stevenage | 3–1 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Oldham Athletic | 2–4 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Charlton Athletic | 0–3 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League One |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Crewe Alexandra | 2–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Feb 2021 | Oxford United | 2–1 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 16 Jan 2021 | Leyton Orient | 2–0 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Jan 2021 | Gillingham | 0–1 | Burton Albion | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Dec 2020 | Plymouth Argyle | 2–3 | Oxford United | A | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2020 | Exeter City | 1–1 | Forest Green Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Mansfield Town | 1–1 | Southend United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Peterborough United | 4–1 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League One |
| 05 Dec 2020 | Cambridge United | 1–2 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Dec 2020 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Crawley Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Nov 2020 | Gillingham | 2–1 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Nov 2020 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–2 | Mansfield Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Oct 2020 | Leyton Orient | 4–0 | Bolton Wanderers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Oct 2020 | Bristol Rovers | 1–3 | Hull City | A | ENG · League One |
| 17 Oct 2020 | Portsmouth | 0–1 | Doncaster Rovers | A | ENG · League One |
| 10 Oct 2020 | Northampton Town | 0–2 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Crawley Town | 1–1 | Southend United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Sep 2020 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1–2 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Feb 2020 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · League One |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Bristol Rovers | 2–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 11 Feb 2020 | Newport County | 0–0 | Walsall | D | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Feb 2020 | Cambridge United | 2–1 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Jan 2020 | Forest Green Rovers | 1–4 | Carlisle United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Bristol Rovers | 0–2 | Doncaster Rovers | A | ENG · League One |
| 04 Jan 2020 | Cheltenham Town | 3–0 | Oldham Athletic | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Exeter City | 1–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Dec 2019 | Portsmouth | 1–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Dec 2019 | Plymouth Argyle | 3–0 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Dec 2019 | Stevenage | 0–0 | Crawley Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Nov 2019 | Leyton Orient | 0–2 | Scunthorpe United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Nov 2019 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–0 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League One |