▦ FDB4
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Match official

Alan Wiley

2000–2010 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: A Wiley, A. G. Wiley, A.G. Wiley, Wiley, A. G.
Matches 315
Draws 78
Draw % 24.8% +0.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 315 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2010), Alan Wiley drew 78 where the draw model expected 81.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 81.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 252 60 23.8%
ENG · Championship 36 10 27.8%
ENG · League One 16 5 31.3%
ENG · League Two 11 3 27.3%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2009/10 30 3 10.0%
2008/09 35 6 17.1%
2007/08 36 6 16.7%
2006/07 39 15 38.5%
2005/06 38 7 18.4%
2004/05 27 8 29.6%
2003/04 24 11 45.8%
2002/03 26 5 19.2%
2001/02 27 8 29.6%
2000/01 33 9 27.3%
Latest matches last 50

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