A Taylor
Over 590 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2026), A Taylor drew 152 where the draw model expected 150.8 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 153.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Premier League | 432 | 103 | 23.8% |
| ENG · Championship | 68 | 25 | 36.8% |
| ENG · League Two | 44 | 14 | 31.8% |
| ENG · League One | 38 | 9 | 23.7% |
| ENG · National League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% |
| 2024/25 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2023/24 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2022/23 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2021/22 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2020/21 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2019/20 | 32 | 3 | 9.4% |
| 2018/19 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% |
| 2017/18 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% |
| 2016/17 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% |
| 2015/16 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% |
| 2014/15 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% |
| 2013/14 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% |
| 2012/13 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
| 2011/12 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% |
| 2010/11 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% |
| 2009/10 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% |
| 2008/09 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% |
| 2007/08 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% |
| 2006/07 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% |
| 2005/06 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | West Ham United | 3–0 | Leeds United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 May 2026 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 May 2026 | Burnley | 2–2 | Aston Villa | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2026 | Chelsea | 1–3 | Nottingham Forest | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0–1 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Manchester City | 2–1 | Arsenal | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Fulham | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Mar 2026 | Newcastle United | 1–2 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Manchester United | 3–1 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Nottingham Forest | 0–1 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | Newcastle United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Aston Villa | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 3–2 | West Ham United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Manchester United | 2–0 | Manchester City | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0–0 | Liverpool | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Everton | 2–4 | Brentford | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Manchester United | 1–0 | Newcastle United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Fulham | 1–0 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Dec 2025 | West Ham United | 2–3 | Aston Villa | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Leeds United | 3–3 | Liverpool | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0–2 | Crystal Palace | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Manchester United | 4–2 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Fulham | 0–1 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Chelsea | 2–1 | Liverpool | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1–3 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Manchester City | 3–0 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Sunderland | 2–1 | Brentford | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1–1 | Nottingham Forest | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Aug 2025 | Liverpool | 4–2 | Bournemouth | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 May 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 0–1 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 11 May 2025 | Liverpool | 2–2 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 May 2025 | Brentford | 4–3 | Manchester United | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Fulham | 1–2 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 4–2 | Tottenham Hotspur | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2–1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Manchester United | 1–1 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Manchester City | 0–2 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1–2 | Everton | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Fulham | 0–1 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 3–2 | Southampton | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Brentford | 2–2 | Manchester City | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 | Arsenal | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 29 Dec 2024 | West Ham United | 0–5 | Liverpool | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Newcastle United | 3–0 | Aston Villa | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Leicester City | 0–3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Manchester City | 1–2 | Manchester United | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3–4 | Chelsea | A | ENG · Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2024 | West Ham United | 2–5 | Arsenal | A | ENG · Premier League |