A Dale
Over 137 matches (Aug 2017 – Oct 2026), A Dale drew 33 where the draw model expected 36.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 35.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · National League | 126 | 31 | 24.6% |
| ENG · League Two | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| ENG · League One | 2 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| 2025/26 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% |
| 2024/25 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% |
| 2023/24 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| 2022/23 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| 2021/22 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| 2020/21 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% |
| 2019/20 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% |
| 2018/19 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% |
| 2017/18 | 17 | 3 | 17.6% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | Boston United | 2–1 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Walsall | 3–0 | Oldham Athletic | H | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Woking | 0–1 | Harrogate Town | A | ENG · National League |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Rochdale | 1–0 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Yeovil Town | 4–1 | Solihull Moors | H | ENG · National League |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Sutton United | 2–1 | Eastleigh | H | ENG · National League |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Northampton Town | 1–1 | Crawley Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Harrogate Town | 2–2 | Barrow | D | ENG · National League |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Chesterfield | 0–1 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Tamworth | 5–1 | Braintree Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Walsall | 0–4 | Cheltenham Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Exeter City | 3–0 | Doncaster Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Cambridge United | 1–0 | Salford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Mar 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 2–4 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Chesterfield | 2–3 | Shrewsbury Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Eastleigh | 1–2 | Carlisle United | A | ENG · National League |
| 21 Feb 2026 | York City | 4–1 | Halifax Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Oldham Athletic | 1–1 | Fleetwood Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Boreham Wood | 1–2 | Boston United | A | ENG · National League |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 5–1 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Solihull Moors | 0–1 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Southend United | 1–0 | Sutton United | H | ENG · National League |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Yeovil Town | 0–2 | Forest Green Rovers | A | ENG · National League |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Aldershot Town | 2–1 | Altrincham | H | ENG · National League |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Eastleigh | 1–1 | Scunthorpe United | D | ENG · National League |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Woking | 5–0 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Braintree Town | 0–0 | Dagenham & Redbridge | D | ENG · National League |
| 18 Mar 2025 | Altrincham | 0–1 | Wealdstone | A | ENG · National League |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Tamworth | 1–1 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · National League |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Braintree Town | 1–0 | Eastleigh | H | ENG · National League |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Aldershot Town | 3–1 | Solihull Moors | H | ENG · National League |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Ebbsfleet United | 0–2 | York City | A | ENG · National League |
| 04 Feb 2025 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 0–2 | Forest Green Rovers | A | ENG · National League |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Wealdstone | 1–1 | Hartlepool United | D | ENG · National League |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Southend United | 4–0 | Ebbsfleet United | H | ENG · National League |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1–0 | Rochdale | H | ENG · National League |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Sutton United | 1–0 | Maidenhead United | H | ENG · National League |
| 23 Oct 2024 | Aldershot Town | 0–0 | Southend United | D | ENG · National League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Barnet | 3–1 | Boston United | H | ENG · National League |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 7–1 | Gateshead | H | ENG · National League |
| 07 Sep 2024 | Wealdstone | 0–2 | York City | A | ENG · National League |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Yeovil Town | 0–1 | Rochdale | A | ENG · National League |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Southend United | 2–0 | Boston United | H | ENG · National League |
| 09 Apr 2024 | Maidenhead United | 3–1 | Hartlepool United | H | ENG · National League |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Dorking Wanderers | 0–0 | Altrincham | D | ENG · National League |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Southend United | 4–2 | Boreham Wood | H | ENG · National League |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 7–1 | Oxford City | H | ENG · National League |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Maidenhead United | 0–1 | Ebbsfleet United | A | ENG · National League |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Dorking Wanderers | 2–1 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · National League |
| 25 Apr 2023 | Woking | 0–1 | Halifax Town | A | ENG · National League |