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A Backhouse

2013–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 276
Draws 71
Draw % 25.7% +1.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 276 matches (Aug 2013 – Oct 2026), A Backhouse drew 71 where the draw model expected 76.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 74.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 101 20 19.8%
ENG · League Two 78 23 29.5%
ENG · Championship 61 15 24.6%
ENG · National League 36 13 36.1%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 5 2 40.0%
2025/26 25 1 4.0%
2024/25 27 9 33.3%
2023/24 20 5 25.0%
2022/23 26 7 26.9%
2021/22 29 6 20.7%
2020/21 28 6 21.4%
2019/20 19 5 26.3%
2018/19 32 9 28.1%
2017/18 29 8 27.6%
2016/17 20 7 35.0%
2013/14 16 6 37.5%
Latest matches last 50

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