Wrexham
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 562 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Wrexham drew 148 where the draw model expected 145.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 144.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 25 Mar 2000 → 12 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 27 Oct 2001 → 05 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 28 Dec 1999 → 18 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 03 Dec 2023 → 17 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 18 Aug 2007 → 04 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 Mar 2019 → 03 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 17 Oct 2015 → 26 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Jan 2012 → 27 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 26 Nov 2019 → 25 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 11 Apr 2009 → 29 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 674 | 178 | 26.4% | 0 | 18 |
| League One | 552 | 157 | 28.4% | 3 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 259 | 56 | 21.6% | 0 | 6 |
| League Two | 230 | 61 | 26.5% | 9 | 20 |
| League Cup | 129 | 27 | 20.9% | 1 | 5 |
| Championship | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2025 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2024 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 57 | 14 | 24.6% | 7 |
| 2022 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2021 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2020 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 5 |
| 2019 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2018 | 49 | 20 | 40.8% | 3 |
| 2017 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2011 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 8 |
| 2010 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 7 |
| 2009 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2008 | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 9 |
| 2007 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 13 |
| 2006 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2005 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 2004 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 10 |
| 2003 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 2002 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2001 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 14 |
| 2000 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 16 |
| 1999 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 6 |
| 1997 | 56 | 22 | 39.3% | 6 |
| 1996 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 9 |
| 1995 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 1993 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% | 4 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1984 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1979 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1978 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 1977 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1968 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1926 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1889 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1887 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1886 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Derby County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 18:45 |
Wrexham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Wrexham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Blackburn Rovers
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 20:00 |
Sheffield United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 19:45 |
Wrexham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 12:30 |
Wrexham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.