What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 225 matches (Sep 2015 – Aug 2026), RKC Waalwijk drew 52 where the draw model expected 46.3 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 50.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | 01 Aug 2009 → 02 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 27 | 12 Feb 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 02 Feb 2003 → 04 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 10 Apr 2005 → 29 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 26 Sep 1999 → 19 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 16 | 27 Nov 1997 → 26 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 23 Feb 1997 → 20 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 30 Dec 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 Aug 2011 → 29 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 25 Aug 2019 → 10 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 808 | 187 | 23.1% | 6 | 34 |
| KNVB Cup | 46 | 5 | 10.9% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 27 |
| 2022 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2013 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2012 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 12 |
| 2010 | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 16 |
| 2009 | 19 | 0 | 0.0% | 19 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 12 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 17 |
| 2004 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2003 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 24 |
| 2002 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2001 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 1999 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 1998 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 13 |
| 1997 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 14 |
| 1996 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 7 |
| 1995 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 1994 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1993 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
BVV Barendrecht
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.