What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 373 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2025), Vitesse Arnhem drew 85 where the draw model expected 82.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 84.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 26 Jan 2017 → 14 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 17 Dec 2011 → 24 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 01 Sep 2019 → 29 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 19 Sep 2009 → 04 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 07 May 2023 → 01 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 18 Dec 2014 → 28 Feb 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 05 Nov 2006 → 27 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 26 Sep 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 18 Nov 2005 → 29 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 04 Oct 1998 → 09 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1046 | 265 | 25.3% | 0 | 19 |
| UEFA Europa League | 54 | 14 | 25.9% | 3 | 6 |
| KNVB Cup | 54 | 4 | 7.4% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Johan Cruyff Shield | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2022 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2021 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2019 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2018 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 18 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 2013 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 8 |
| 2012 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2011 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2010 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2009 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2007 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2005 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2004 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2002 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2001 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 6 |
| 2000 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 1998 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 1997 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 6 |
| 1995 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 1994 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1993 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 7 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:00 |
VVV-Venlo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.