Virtus Entella
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 474 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Virtus Entella drew 145 where the draw model expected 146.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 146.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 26 Nov 2020 → 20 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 16 Sep 2023 → 02 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 05 May 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 08 Dec 2015 → 27 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 15 Mar 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 01 Apr 2019 → 14 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 10 Feb 2026 → 06 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 01 May 2021 → 25 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 19 Feb 2023 → 01 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 22 Apr 2017 → 26 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 287 | 96 | 33.5% | 0 | 16 |
| Serie C | 188 | 53 | 28.2% | 0 | 13 |
| Coppa Italia | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 4 |
| 2024 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2022 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 11 |
| 2021 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2020 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2019 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2018 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2017 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2015 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 2014 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 5 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
Virtus Entella
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 13:00 |
Calcio Padova
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:00 |
Virtus Entella
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:00 |
Virtus Entella
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 18:30 |
UC Sampdoria
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:00 |
Virtus Entella
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.