Tromsø IL
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 397 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Tromsø IL drew 92 where the draw model expected 89.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 90.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 16 Apr 2001 → 19 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 16 May 1990 → 15 Aug 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 17 Aug 2025 → 13 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 16 Jul 2023 → 26 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 13 May 1999 → 04 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 28 Apr 2019 → 14 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 29 May 1988 → 21 Aug 1988 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 25 Apr 2004 → 20 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 04 May 2025 → 27 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 26 Aug 2012 → 28 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 1007 | 251 | 24.9% | 3 | 19 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 216 | 40 | 18.5% | 2 | 6 |
| 1. divisjon | 90 | 15 | 16.7% | 2 | 18 |
| UEFA Europa League | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 1 | 9 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 14 |
| 2024 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 16 |
| 2022 | 33 | 14 | 42.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 5 |
| 2020 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 2018 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2016 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2015 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2009 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2008 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2006 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 2004 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2003 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 6 |
| 2002 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2001 | 31 | 4 | 12.9% | 24 |
| 2000 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 1999 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 15 |
| 1998 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1996 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 1995 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 10 |
| 1994 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 1993 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1992 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 1991 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 1990 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 17 |
| 1989 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 1988 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 14 |
| 1987 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 4 |
| 1986 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 6 |
| 1985 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 12:30 |
Fredrikstad FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 17:15 |
Tromsø IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 13:30 |
Viking FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 18:00 |
Tromsø IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 18:15 |
Vålerenga Fotball
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 13:30 |
Tromsø IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov 13:00 |
Tromsø IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.4% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Nov 16:00 |
Sandefjord Fotball
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 06 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Dec 16:00 |
Tromsø IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sun, 13 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Dec 16:00 |
Lillestrøm SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.